Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 9.215117 10.678592 12.249380 14.054991 16.067260 18.234972 20.740634
2025-05-11 6.997953 8.825873 10.916927 13.466671 16.471429 19.879184 24.014485
2025-05-18 5.673332 7.695451 10.136722 13.261521 17.112421 21.659064 27.385495
2025-05-25 4.652192 6.748010 9.405099 12.955626 17.504216 23.061386 30.281402
2025-06-01 3.920084 6.049561 8.872402 12.791966 17.986647 24.522558 33.240674
2025-06-08 3.279808 5.377850 8.281362 12.462086 18.180562 25.571940 35.668606
2025-06-15 2.888955 5.001435 8.038443 12.551624 18.893759 27.279677 38.964578
2025-06-22 2.513959 4.595667 7.703453 12.465940 19.334030 28.613162 41.785788
2025-06-29 2.256522 4.336687 7.550435 12.612558 20.081580 30.364148 45.198339
2025-07-06 2.036818 4.109028 7.417461 12.765902 20.827656 32.120851 48.655497
2025-07-13 1.895238 3.994080 7.444619 13.151679 21.915150 34.376610 52.853773
2025-07-20 1.743416 3.841267 7.393574 13.404179 22.804219 36.368085 56.728229
2025-07-27 1.556780 3.604020 7.185161 13.396163 23.302516 37.821807 59.901077
2025-08-03 1.299537 3.196780 6.648872 12.815302 22.881349 37.906147 61.100894
2025-08-10 1.133776 2.945016 6.357512 12.611923 23.027473 38.817509 63.506320
2025-08-17 0.976643 2.686807 6.028007 12.315495 23.000478 39.454309 65.510789
2025-08-24 0.856426 2.489173 5.790415 12.157244 23.180860 40.400305 67.986102
2025-08-31 0.733502 2.264684 5.477940 11.840089 23.075214 40.889945 69.775185
2025-09-07 0.666339 2.160953 5.392612 11.925845 23.643148 42.440400 73.204168
2025-09-14 0.590608 2.023143 5.224130 11.843512 23.914986 43.523505 75.934883
2025-09-21 0.542070 1.947184 5.176659 11.984221 24.573915 45.238090 79.676687
2025-09-28 0.498528 1.877263 5.135054 12.131422 25.246085 46.987599 83.507330
2025-10-05 0.475156 1.859913 5.206399 12.501837 26.325449 49.424699 88.467204